The following economic awareness entry is based on short-term events and therefore should not be taken as information towards making investment decisions, which are of a long-term nature. It is only meant to provide clarity regarding current economic events, as there is often a large degree of incorrect information dispersed through the media or other sources.
If you had the option to either save 4% or make 7%, which would you choose?
Economic Awareness: U.S. and U.K. See Financial Turbulence
Rising recession fears and uncertainty in the bond and currency markets sent stocks to new 2022 lows last week.
A Tumultuous Week
U.S. stocks were under pressure all week due to recession concerns and unsettled trading in the bond and currency markets. This stress followed economic steps out of the U.K. During the previous week, the Bank of England (BOE) raised interest rates, and its prime minister announced unfunded tax cuts that the markets interpreted as inflationary.
U.S. bond yields rose early last week, sending stocks lower until Wednesday’s rally following news that the BOE would buy U.K. government bonds. U.S. stocks resumed their descent the following two days to close out a disappointing week, month, and third quarter.
The Bank of England Acts
Global bond and currency markets have been volatile recently due to global central bankers raising interest rates to combat inflation. Developments in the U.K. took center stage last week when the BOE announced it would be buying long-dated U.K. government bonds. Upending the financial markets was the previous week’s announcement of tax cuts by the country’s new prime minister, a step many investors viewed as counterproductive to the BOE’s inflation-fighting efforts.
The BOE’s decision to begin temporary purchases of government bonds was well-received by capital markets, sending U.K. bond yields lower and boosting U.K. stock prices in the immediate aftermath.
This Week: Key Economic Data
Monday: Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index.
Tuesday: Factory Orders. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
Wednesday: Automated Data Processing (ADP) Employment Report. Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services Index.
Thursday: Jobless Claims.
Source: Econoday, September 30, 2022
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Wednesday: Lamb Weston (LW).
Thursday: Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ), McCormick & Company, Inc. (MKC), Conagra Brands (CAG).
Source: Zacks, September 30, 2022
“The trust of the innocent is the liar’s most useful tool.”
– Stephen King
With Shared Custody, Taxes Can Get Complicated
If you have a legal agreement with your child’s other parent regarding custody, you likely have questions about claiming the child on your tax return and what credits (if any) for which you are eligible.
It may help if you research the Child Tax Credit as well. The parent who claimed the Child Tax Credit for a qualifying child the previous year may have received the advance child tax credit payments the following year. That means that “an eligible parent who did not receive advance payments for a qualifying child will be able to claim the full amount of the child tax credit for that child on a 2022 tax return even if the other parent received advance child tax credit payments.”
* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.
Tip adapted from IRS.gov4
Sneak in More Veggies with Mashed Cauliflower
Mashed potatoes are a classic side at any meal, but they can be calorie-dense and don’t provide as much nutritional benefit as other veggies. If you want a tasty and easy way to incorporate more veggies into your meals this year, try this simple mashed cauliflower recipe:
Tip adapted from Downshiftology5
Seven people stand in a square room which measures 30' x 30'. Each one can see the entire room and everyone in it without making any physical movement (aside from eye movement). Where inside this room can you place an apple so that all but one person can see it?
Last week’s riddle: Alexandra’s mom had four children. The first one was named May, the second was named June, and the third was named August. What was the fourth child's name? Riddle Answer: Alexandra
Kirkjufell Mountain, Reykjavík, Iceland
Footnotes and Sources
2. The Wall Street Journal, September 30, 2022
3. The Wall Street Journal, September 30, 2022
4. IRS.gov, February 23, 2022
5. Downshiftology.com, June 1, 2022
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