The following economic awareness entry is based on short-term events and therefore should not be taken as information towards making investment decisions, which are of a long-term nature. It is only meant to provide clarity regarding current economic events, as there is often a large degree of incorrect information dispersed through the media or other sources.
PODCAST OF THE WEEK
Economic Awareness: Fed Says Tapering Ahead
A Federal Reserve announcement on tapering, a fresh batch of corporate profits, and encouraging economic data lifted stocks to another weekly gain.
Stocks Power Higher
Stocks marched higher throughout the week, lifted by a succession of positive corporate earnings surprises, optimistic forward guidance by some companies, and healthy economic data. Continued strong third-quarter profits reinforced the narrative that businesses were able to meet strong consumer demand and maintain robust profit margins, despite the headwinds of inflation and supply-chain knots.
Investors were unfazed by the Fed’s mid-week announcement that it would begin its bond purchase tapering plans, in part, because it had long been telegraphed and Fed Chair Powell’s optimistic analysis of the current state of the economy. Also cheered was the announcement of a new COVID-19 antiviral pill and a powerful rebound in job creation, driving stocks to new heights to close out the week.
The Fed Speaks
In an eagerly awaited November meeting of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee), the Fed pulled the trigger on its plan to taper monthly bond purchases. Fed tapering will begin this month with reductions of $15 billion per month ($10 billion in Treasurys and $5 billion in mortgage-backed securities) that will end this pandemic-era policy response by July 2022.4
The Fed reiterated its belief that inflation remained transitory, though conceding it had underestimated its acceleration and persistence; it did not expect interest rates to be raised until after the completion of the tapering program. Powell expects inflation to stay elevated until mid-2022 when he anticipates supply-chain bottlenecks to clear.5,6
This Week: Key Economic Data
Wednesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI). Jobless Claims.
Friday: Consumer Sentiment. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
Source: Econoday, November 5, 2021
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Monday: PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL).
Tuesday: D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), Sysco Corporation (SYY), Palantir Technologies, Inc. (PLTR), DoorDash, Inc. (DASH), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Roblox Corporation (RBLX).
Wednesday: The Walt Disney Company (DIS), Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM).
Friday: AstraZeneca PLC (AZN).
Source: Zacks, November 5, 2021
“A career is born in public, talent in privacy.”
– Marilyn Monroe
Check Your Withholding Status Online
The Withholding Calculator can help you determine whether you should submit a new W-4 to your employer, and you also can use the results to adjust your income tax withholding. If you have a more complex tax situation, you may need to use Publication 505, Tax Withholding and Estimated Tax form. This form can help you determine your self-employment tax, alternative minimum tax, or tax on unearned income by dependents. Publication 505 also can help if you receive non-wage income, including capital gains, royalties, dividends, and more.
* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.
Tip adapted from IRS.gov7
Low-Impact Exercises for Healthy Joints
Here are some of our favorite low-impact exercises:
Tip adapted from Healthline8
Complete these words by putting the same three letters into each one: F---RISH, C---DY, S---GH.
Last week’s riddle: By rearranging the letters in the phrase VIEWING A STIR, you can make the name of a U.S. state. What state is it? Answer: West Virginia.
Taughannock Falls State Park, Trumansburg, New York.
Footnotes and Sources
2. The Wall Street Journal, November 5, 2021
3. The Wall Street Journal, November 5, 2021
4. CNBC, November 3, 2021
5. CNBC, November 3, 2021
6. CNBC, November 3, 2021
7. IRS.gov, January 22, 2021
8. healthline.com, June 24, 2021
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November 8, 2021: Economic Awareness & Lifestyle Living
November 10, 2021