The following economic awareness entry is based on short-term events and therefore should not be taken as information towards making investment decisions, which are of a long-term nature. It is only meant to provide clarity regarding current economic events, as there is often a large degree of incorrect information dispersed through the media or other sources.
Reminding ourselves how the stock market tends to work, how it is a leading indicator, can be a helpful emotional refresher course.
Economic Awareness: Cooling Inflation Brings Market Gains
A cooling inflation number ignited a powerful rally on Thursday, sending stocks to strong gains for the week.
A lower-than-expected inflation report triggered the biggest one-day stock market gain in more than two years as the news raised investors’ hopes that the Fed might consider easing the pace of future rate hikes. The day’s gains were pronounced in the hard-hit technology sector, as the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 7.35%.4
Stocks initially rallied to start the week, but gave up some of the gains on Wednesday following a muddy and indecisive outcome to the midterms. Friday saw stocks build on their gains to close out an exceptional week.
Consumer prices rose slower in October, increasing 0.4% for the month and 7.7% from 12 months ago. Both numbers were below market expectations of 0.6% and 7.9%. The core CPI (excludes energy and food sectors) rose a more modest 0.3% on a monthly basis and 6.3% from a year ago.5
The deceleration in prices was mainly attributable to price declines in used cars (-2.4%), apparel (-0.7%), and medical care services (-0.6%). Despite the progress, inflation remains well above the Fed’s 2% target rate. A look behind the numbers shows that October’s 7.7% CPI was fueled by the largest monthly jump in shelter costs since 1990 (+0.8%). Shelter costs account for one-third of the CPI. Energy was up 1.8%, while food costs rose 0.6% for the month.6
This Week: Key Economic Data
Tuesday: Producer Price Index (PPI).
Wednesday: Retail Sales. Industrial Production.
Thursday: Housing Starts. Jobless Claims.
Friday: Existing Home Sales. Index of Leading Economic Indicators.
Source: Econoday, November 11, 2022
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Monday: Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN).
Tuesday: Walmart, Inc. (WMT), The Home Depot, Inc. (HD).
Wednesday: Nvidia Corporation (NVDA), Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO), Target Corporation (TGT), Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW), The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX).
Thursday: Applied Materials, Inc.(AMAT), Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW), Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST).
Source: Zacks, November 11, 2022
"To expect truth to come from thinking signifies that we mistake the need to think with the urge to know."
– Hannah Arendt
Meet the Taxpayer Advocate Service
Did you know that an independent organization within the IRS is fighting for your rights as a taxpayer? The Taxpayer Advocate Service (TAS) protects taxpayers' rights by ensuring that all taxpayers are treated fairly and know and understand their rights under the Taxpayer Bill of Rights. Here are some things to know about TAS:
Tip adapted from IRS.gov7
What is Compostable?
Composting is a great way to go green and keep more waste out of landfills that don’t need to be there. Composting has many benefits, including waste management and reduction, soil enhancement, reduction of greenhouse gasses, and many more.
Plus, composting doesn’t have to be hard! Let’s break down what is compostable to help you understand where to start. There are two types of compostable waste, green and brown:
Tip adapted from Sustainable Jungle8
I’m usually standing on a city sidewalk, and I’ll always stand by your car. But if you don’t feed me, you may get into trouble. What am I?
Last week’s riddle: Create a 13-letter word using all 13 of the following letters: O A I I S T T R R D N A M. Answer: ADMINISTRATOR.
Preening flamingo, Galapagos Islands, Ecuador.
Footnotes and Sources
2. The Wall Street Journal, November 11, 2022
3. The Wall Street Journal, November 11, 2022
4. CNBC, November 10, 2022
5. CNBC, November 10, 2022
6. CNBC, November 10, 2022
7. IRS.gov, July 19, 2022
8. Sustainable Jungle, August 8, 2022
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