The following economic awareness entry is based on short-term events and therefore should not be taken as information towards making investment decisions, which are of a long-term nature. It is only meant to provide clarity regarding current economic events, as there is often a large degree of incorrect information dispersed through the media or other sources.
PODCAST OF THE WEEK
Economic Awareness: Earnings Build: GDP Slows
A fresh wave of positive corporate earnings surprises sent markets to new record highs last week.
Earnings Drive Market
The week kicked off with the Dow Jones Industrials and S&P 500 index setting record highs as the financial markets carried over the previous week’s price momentum.4
Stocks continued to climb on a string of forecast-beating earnings results. With about half of the S&P 500 constituent companies having reported earnings, more than 80% of them have beaten Wall Street analysts’ consensus estimates. Based on these results, earnings for all S&P 500 companies are expected to come in approximately 39% above the third quarter of last year. (Forecasts are based on assumptions, and may not materialize.) Stocks overcame disappointing earnings from two mega-cap tech names on Friday to maintain the week’s solid gains.5
GDP Growth Slows
While businesses managed to post strong earnings in the third quarter, the first look at economic growth came in below consensus estimates. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew at a 2.0% annualized rate in the third quarter, a slowdown from the two previous quarters, each of which posted annualized growth rates in excess of 6%.6
The spread of the Delta variant and backlogs in the supply chain were two major factors dragging on economic activity.
This Week: Key Economic Data
Monday: ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Manufacturing Index.
Wednesday: ADP (Automated Data Processing) Employment Report. Factory Orders. ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Services Index. FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Announcement.
Thursday: Jobless Claims.
Friday: Employment Situation.
Source: Econoday, October 29, 2021
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Monday: Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG).
Tuesday: Pfizer, Inc. (PFE), Activision Blizzard, Inc. (ATVI), Amgen, Inc. (AMGN), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC), ConocoPhillips (COP), Prudential Financial (PRU), Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ), TMobile US, Inc. (TMUS), The Estee Lauder Companies, Inc. (EL).
Wednesday: CVS Health Corporation (CVS), Qualcomm, Inc. (QCOM), Electronic Arts (EA), Humana, Inc. (HUM), Booking Holdings, Inc. (BKNG), Match Group, Inc. (MTCH), Emerson Electric (EMR).
Thursday: Square, Inc. (SQ), Albemarle Corporation (ALB), Southern Companies (SO), Cigna Corporation (CI), Skyworks Solutions, Inc. (SWKS), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (REGN).
Friday: DraftKings, Inc. (DKNG).
Source: Zacks, October 29, 2021
“And as we let our own light shine, we unconsciously give other people permission to do the same.”
– Nelson Mandela
Do a Paycheck Checkup
Every year, the IRS suggests doing what it calls a “Paycheck Checkup.” Check your withholding status if you:
The IRS also suggests checking on any streams of taxable income that are not subject to withholding, such as interest, dividends, capital gains, self-employment income, or retirement plan distributions. You also should check your withholding if you’ve experienced changes to your medical expenses, taxes, charitable gifts, education credits, dependent care expenses, and more. These life changes might affect your deductions or tax credits. Paycheck Checkups may help you better manage the process of filing taxes.
* This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax professional.
Tip adapted from IRS.gov7
Rest, Relaxation, and Healthy Nutrition
Here are some tips on how to stay healthy, even during holiday trips:
There’s no reason why you must sacrifice all your hard work and healthy habits while visiting family or heading to warmer destinations during the holidays. If anything, continuing a healthy lifestyle while traveling will help you have even more fun!
Tip adapted from Travel & Leisure8
By rearranging the letters in the phrase VIEWING A STIR, you can make the name of a U.S. state. What state is it?
Last week’s riddle: If you add 1.5 to this number, you will get the same result as you would if you multiplied it by 1.5. What number is it? (Hints: It is a whole number, it is not zero, and it is between 1 and 10.)? Answer: 3.
Zimbabwean side of Victoria Falls, Zimbabwe, Southern Africa.
Footnotes and Sources
2. The Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2021
3. The Wall Street Journal, October 29, 2021
4. CNBC, October 24, 2021
5. CNBC, October 28, 2021
6. The Wall Street Journal, October 28, 2021
7. IRS.gov, January 22, 2021
8. travelandleisure.com, June 24, 2021
Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.
The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.
The market indexes discussed are unmanaged, and generally, considered representative of their respective markets. Index performance is not indicative of the past performance of a particular investment. Indexes do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses. Individuals cannot directly invest in unmanaged indexes. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is an unmanaged index that is generally considered representative of large-capitalization companies on the U.S. stock market. Nasdaq Composite is an index of the common stocks and similar securities listed on the NASDAQ stock market and is considered a broad indicator of the performance of technology and growth companies. The MSCI EAFE Index was created by Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) and serves as a benchmark of the performance of major international equity markets, as represented by 21 major MSCI indexes from Europe, Australia, and Southeast Asia. The S&P 500 Composite Index is an unmanaged group of securities that are considered to be representative of the stock market in general.
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International investments carry additional risks, which include differences in financial reporting standards, currency exchange rates, political risks unique to a specific country, foreign taxes and regulations, and the potential for illiquid markets. These factors may result in greater share price volatility.
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November 1, 2021: Economic Awareness & Lifestyle Living
November 02, 2021